Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014471 0.017888 0.022292 0.028547 0.037487 0.050295 0.071053
2025-02-02 0.010972 0.014965 0.020926 0.031082 0.049441 0.085132 0.174249
2025-02-09 0.008801 0.012705 0.019071 0.031270 0.057357 0.122471 0.374913
2025-02-16 0.007450 0.011209 0.017757 0.031527 0.065499 0.173250 0.887170
2025-02-23 0.006466 0.010042 0.016601 0.031482 0.073058 0.239674 2.476374
2025-03-02 0.005572 0.008838 0.015035 0.029848 0.075147 0.294201 6.920519
2025-03-09 0.004956 0.008017 0.014018 0.029116 0.079751 0.382250 42.747066
2025-03-16 0.004567 0.007547 0.013606 0.029762 0.090247 0.570269 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004206 0.007073 0.013080 0.029897 0.099326 0.835095 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003803 0.006460 0.012123 0.028447 0.100015 1.026302 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003500 0.006010 0.011463 0.027695 0.103944 1.377576 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003326 0.005803 0.011334 0.028608 0.118925 2.529028 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003205 0.005723 0.011582 0.031281 0.154094 9.854601 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003086 0.005636 0.011816 0.034216 0.204167 166.333829 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002883 0.005333 0.011410 0.034433 0.232383 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002708 0.005069 0.011056 0.034726 0.266070 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002544 0.004810 0.010662 0.034675 0.298617 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002350 0.004462 0.009953 0.032811 0.296384 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002204 0.004209 0.009486 0.031979 0.313032 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002109 0.004071 0.009337 0.032713 0.370901 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002010 0.003912 0.009096 0.032867 0.422385 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001883 0.003672 0.008568 0.031218 0.415326 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001783 0.003491 0.008202 0.030365 0.432737 NaN NaN